Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.023863 0.025656 0.027525 0.029623 0.031913 0.034341 0.037113
2025-01-12 0.020497 0.022988 0.025719 0.028945 0.032663 0.036828 0.041866
2025-01-19 0.018745 0.021707 0.025080 0.029227 0.034215 0.040054 0.047457
2025-01-26 0.017280 0.020527 0.024340 0.029182 0.035211 0.042533 0.052192
2025-02-02 0.016311 0.019808 0.024023 0.029528 0.036599 0.045471 0.057598
2025-02-09 0.015227 0.018837 0.023289 0.029245 0.037100 0.047241 0.061546
2025-02-16 0.014366 0.018072 0.022735 0.029113 0.037732 0.049155 0.065749
2025-02-23 0.013575 0.017335 0.022154 0.028878 0.038169 0.050786 0.069620
2025-03-02 0.012958 0.016782 0.021767 0.028856 0.038862 0.052769 0.074082
2025-03-09 0.012268 0.016087 0.021144 0.028456 0.038976 0.053909 0.077353
2025-03-16 0.011594 0.015377 0.020455 0.027914 0.038835 0.054643 0.080023
2025-03-23 0.011072 0.014847 0.019985 0.027645 0.039058 0.055898 0.083548
2025-03-30 0.010576 0.014335 0.019519 0.027365 0.039253 0.057133 0.087154
2025-04-06 0.010019 0.013711 0.018864 0.026766 0.038927 0.057538 0.089433
2025-04-13 0.009761 0.013502 0.018792 0.027028 0.039924 0.060054 0.095364
2025-04-20 0.009435 0.013178 0.018534 0.026987 0.040436 0.061812 0.100128
2025-04-27 0.009230 0.013020 0.018512 0.027303 0.041522 0.064557 0.106796
2025-05-04 0.008885 0.012640 0.018137 0.027045 0.041657 0.065719 0.110721
2025-05-11 0.008598 0.012334 0.017861 0.026924 0.042005 0.067249 0.115414
2025-05-18 0.008305 0.012007 0.017537 0.026710 0.042179 0.068479 0.119628
2025-05-25 0.008076 0.011768 0.017341 0.026690 0.042674 0.070292 0.125074
2025-06-01 0.007778 0.011414 0.016948 0.026326 0.042553 0.070991 0.128396
2025-06-08 0.007468 0.011028 0.016489 0.025831 0.042178 0.071201 0.130753